Game theory nfl

He does come with more upside than being touchdown-dependent, although he generally needs one to hit double-digit DK points. Braxton Berrios is an interesting option after seeing 10 targets last week.

Green are interesting options on this slate. Kittle also gets a solid matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. Dallas Goedert is another solid option here this week. If Gardner Minshew is starting, he will become chalky after posting Both come with tremendous upside, and they get matchups against teams that you can attack with the tight end. Uzomah continues to be a bit too cheap for his role in the Cincinnati Bengals. Connect with us. Allen J.

Robinson C. Murray E. Mitchell D. Tagovailoa J. Conner L. From here they could kick a yard field goal to win - by no means a sure thing. But they were nearly guaranteed a tie, and a trip to the playoffs.

Would they kneel the ball to run out the clock, or are they willing to go for the win? At this point both teams again have two options. The Raiders can try play for the win and try to move the ball closer for an easier field goal, or they can kneel down and end the game. The Chargers can stick with their base defense, or call a time out to put in a run-specific defense to try to stop the Raiders from getting closer.

The Chargers clearly want the Raiders to kneel down, then no matter what they do, the Chargers make the playoffs. But if the Raiders kneel, the will get the 7 seed, and that is pretty much guaranteed at this point. So the Raiders can take the initiative and go for that 6 seed.

The game has changed now from a Nash game, where the players are balanced, to a Stackelberg game, where one player is the leader, who acts first. The Raiders are the leader here, and there best option is the execute a play likely a low-risk running play, to keep the clock going.

Sure enough, they did not line up in a formation to kneel the ball - they were ready to try to go for the win. So we forget about the second row in this table - the Raiders will execute a play. What will the Chargers do? The Chargers recognized that their current defense did not have the correct personnel on the field to stop a running play, so their coach called a time out in order to change the personnel. In the end, the Raiders ran a play against the Chargers better run defense - and still gained 10 yards!

So although the Chargers made the correct decision, the execution of the play changed the game again. My only major concern at the moment is Philadelphia utilizing several running backs instead of Hurts, which is why Brady is my favorite option this weekend. He should continue airing the ball out, and Carr ranks third on the slate in Karma Value via our Projections.

Justin Herbert and Matthew Stafford are two more interesting options at quarterback, although I have them in a tier below the other three at this point. Heinicke comes with great rushing potential along with plenty of upside with his arm. Heinicke gets a plus matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders in a game that projects as one of the highest-scoring on the slate. Prior to his injury, he posted He needed only 20 pass attempts to score 17 DK points against them earlier this season, and he comes with plenty of upside if this game can stay somewhat close.

He gets an elite matchup against a weak Houston Texans run defense, and Taylor posted yards and 2 touchdowns on only 14 carries against them earlier this season. The other clear cash game option is Jamaal Williams , who is far too cheap on this slate. He has the skill set to be a three-down running back, and the Detroit Lions seem poised to use him that way.

Mattison will take over a workhorse role with Dalvin Cook injured. He also gets an elite matchup against the Detroit Lions. If you need to save a bit more salary here, David Montgomery is another running back with an oddly mispriced tag. He has a featured role with the Chicago Bears, and he gets a solid matchup against the Arizona Cardinals.

Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon, James Conner, and Darrell Henderson are other options for varying price tags that make sense as the third running back in your lineups this weekend. The cash game pool is massive for Week 13, and as some players gain more steam and others lose it, some will switch into the GPP conversation.

Depending on ownership on Sunday, everyone listed above can at least be considered in tournaments. Eli Mitchell is another great option here. He returned last week, posting yards and 1 touchdown on 27 carries. He also recorded a season-high 5 receptions for 35 yards on 6 targets.